April 4, 2007
Ten lessons about Islamic Republic of Iran
There are some lessons we can all learn from this:
- Islamic Republic of Iran, when genuinely engaged, is negotiable,
unlike what neo-conservatives try to make us believe. - Iran is a whole different country now than it was 28 years ago when they captured the American embassy
- Iran's establishment is more united than everyone thinks. Painting the Revolution Guard as a Mafia or a government inside a government is a strategic mistake.
- The moderate conservatives in Iran, represented by Ali Larijani, have the unconditional backing of Ali Khamenei.
- Ali Larijani, who brokered the deal, is the real president of Iran and is the person in Iran for the world to talk to. That's why Ahmadinjad was reading from a written statement.
- Islamic Republic, including its radical elements, is not a rouge and irrational regime.
- Ahmadinejad has been allowed to announce the release to repair the image of Iran that's hugely damaged by himself over his unnecessary anti-Israel comments.
- Iran has won the PR game.
- Iran is a winner in the recent standoff, as it ultimately was when the U.S. removed its most threatening neighbouring regimes in Iraq and Afghanistan
- Ahmadinejad is one heck of a street-smart politician.
Comments
There are some lessons we can all learn from this:
National Sociatlist Germany, when genuinely engaged, is negotiable,
unlike what Jews try to make us believe.
Germany is a whole different country now than it was in 1918 when they lost WWII
Germany's establishment is more united than everyone thinks. Painting the Gestapo
as a Mafia or a government inside a government is a strategic mistake.
The moderate Nazis in Iran, represented by Himmler, have the unconditional backing of Hitler.
Von Ribbentrop, who brokered the deal, is the real president of Germany and is the person in Germany for the world to talk to.
Nazi Germany, including its radical elements, is not a rouge and irrational regime.
Hitler has been allowed to announce the agreement with Chamberlain to repair the image of Iran that's hugely damaged by himself over his unnecessary takeover of Austria.
Germany has won the PR game.
Germany is a winner in the recent standoff, because blaming Jews is always popular
Hitler is one heck of a street-smart politician.
- By: Herbert Kaine on April 17, 2007
- By: Herbert Kaine on April 17, 2007
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How is Ahmadinejad reading a prepared statement evidence that Larijani is the real president? Perhaps he is deployed when IRI wants to put forward a moderate face. The debate is still open as to whether it's Khamenei or Ahmad steering the ship in the sailors issue.
- By: DSF on April 11, 2007
- By: DSF on April 11, 2007
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I disagree with L. Malone. Iran DID win the PR game. It won the PR game at home (which, to any government is FAR more important than it's standing abroad), and if Iran looked bad in the US press...so what? Does Iran ever look GOOD in the U.S. press?
No, Iran is playing realpolitik the way a high-stakes poker player plays a tournament in Vegas: with skill, cunning, and ruthlessness. Bismarck would consider Iran a worthy opponent.
- By: Survivalwizard on April 11, 2007
- By: Survivalwizard on April 11, 2007
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I always appreciate your analysis of Iranian politics, but don't be convinced that Iran won the PR game. It didn't come out that way in the US press, capturing the British in international waters, sending out staged confessions, and parading them around.
- By: Lenny Malone on April 5, 2007
- By: Lenny Malone on April 5, 2007
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Meanwhile, regime change machine continues its work:
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/ID05Ak05.html
A steady squeeze on Tehran
US economic pressure is mounting against Iran. While efforts to stop oil companies investing in Iran have produced mixed results, pressure via the financial sector has been more effective. At the same time, efforts to strengthen domestic opposition forces in Iran continue, as does the propaganda war.
- By: Randy on April 5, 2007
- By: Randy on April 5, 2007
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Indeed.
- By: Roba on April 4, 2007
- By: Roba on April 4, 2007
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